Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Final Drive (Week 4, 2026)

What really happened

Field goal. The Browns won 27-24. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

1. 1.4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy to CLE 43 for 17 yards (22-A.Samuel).
2. 2.PENALTY on CLE-77-Z.Johnson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 43 - No Play. 10-second runoff.
3. 3.4-D.Watson pass short left to 44-H.Fannin pushed ob at 50 for 12 yards (3-J.Brisker).
4. 4.4-D.Watson pass short middle to 3-J.Jeudy ran ob at PIT 40 for 10 yards (41-P.Wilson).
5. 5.4-D.Watson pass short middle to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 34 for 6 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).
6. 6.4-D.Watson sacked at PIT 38 for -4 yards (41-P.Wilson).
7. 7.4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Concepcion.
8. 8.25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Drive result

Field goal

Final score

Browns 27, Steelers 24

Outcome

Won 27-24

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Todd Monken made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

1. Deep middleCostly1st & 10 at CLE 26, 1:36 leftLost 5.9 pts

   4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy to CLE 43 for 17 yards (22-A.Samuel).

   Model's pick: Short sideline, 69% win chance vs 63%.

2. Not graded

   PENALTY on CLE-77-Z.Johnson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 43 - No Play. 10-second runoff.

   Penalty, no play.

3. Short sidelineBest call1st & 15 at CLE 38, 1:00 leftTop option

   4-D.Watson pass short left to 44-H.Fannin pushed ob at 50 for 12 yards (3-J.Brisker).

   Model's pick too, 74% win chance.

4. Short middleBest call2nd & 3 at Midfield, 0:55 leftLost 0.7 pts

   4-D.Watson pass short middle to 3-J.Jeudy ran ob at PIT 40 for 10 yards (41-P.Wilson).

   Model's pick: Outside run, 83% win chance vs 83%.

5. Short middleBest call1st & 10 at PIT 40, 0:49 leftLost 0.9 pts

   4-D.Watson pass short middle to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 34 for 6 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).

   Model's pick: Inside run, 88% win chance vs 87%.

6. Not graded2nd & 4 at PIT 34, 0:38 left

   4-D.Watson sacked at PIT 38 for -4 yards (41-P.Wilson).

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

7. Short sidelineBest call3rd & 8 at PIT 38, 0:19 leftLost 0.6 pts

   4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Concepcion.

   Model's pick: Inside run, 85% win chance vs 85%.

8. Field goalBest call4th & 8 at PIT 38, 0:15 leftTop option

   25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

   Model's pick too, 81% win chance.

Todd Monken scored 92 on 6 graded calls. 🟧🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 Think you can beat 92? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 31 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 22, or 71%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.