Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Final Drive (Week 6, 2026)

What really happened

Field goal. The Browns won 13-10. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

1. 1.4-D.Watson pass short left to 38-J.McLaughlin to CLE 29 for 9 yards
2. 2.4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 12-D.Boston (44-M.Humphrey).
3. 3.36-A.Estime up the middle to CLE 33 for 4 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 32-T.Simpson).
4. 4.4-D.Watson pass short right to 38-J.McLaughlin to CLE 33 for no gain (38-K.Martin).
5. 5.4-D.Watson scrambles left end ran ob at CLE 38 for 5 yards (15-M.Green).
6. 6.4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy to BAL 29 for 33 yards (24-M.Starks).
7. 7.38-J.McLaughlin right guard to BAL 26 for 3 yards (14-K.Hamilton; 98-T.Jones).
8. 8.36-A.Estime right guard to BAL 23 for 3 yards (0-R.Smith).
9. 9.4-D.Watson left end to BAL 23 for no gain (32-T.Simpson).
10. 10.25-A.Szmyt 42 yard field goal is BLOCKED
11. 11.25-A.Szmyt 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Drive result

Field goal

Final score

Browns 13, Ravens 10

Outcome

Won 13-10

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Todd Monken made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

1. Short sidelineCostly1st & 10 at CLE 20, 1:59 leftLost 4.4 pts

   4-D.Watson pass short left to 38-J.McLaughlin to CLE 29 for 9 yards

   Model's pick: Outside run, 66% win chance vs 62%.

2. Deep sidelineCostly2nd & 1 at CLE 29, 1:39 leftLost 4.9 pts

   4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 12-D.Boston (44-M.Humphrey).

   Model's pick: Inside run, 71% win chance vs 66%.

3. Inside runBest call3rd & 1 at CLE 29, 1:34 leftTop option

   36-A.Estime up the middle to CLE 33 for 4 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 32-T.Simpson).

   Model's pick too, 65% win chance.

4. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at CLE 33, 1:11 leftLost 1.1 pts

   4-D.Watson pass short right to 38-J.McLaughlin to CLE 33 for no gain (38-K.Martin).

   Model's pick: Outside run, 72% win chance vs 71%.

5. Not graded2nd & 10 at CLE 33, 0:52 left

   4-D.Watson scrambles left end ran ob at CLE 38 for 5 yards (15-M.Green).

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

6. Deep middleClose3rd & 5 at CLE 38, 0:42 leftLost 1.9 pts

   4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy to BAL 29 for 33 yards (24-M.Starks).

   Model's pick: Deep sideline, 68% win chance vs 66%.

7. Inside runBest call1st & 10 at BAL 29, 0:22 leftTop option

   38-J.McLaughlin right guard to BAL 26 for 3 yards (14-K.Hamilton; 98-T.Jones).

   Model's pick too, 93% win chance.

8. Inside runBest call2nd & 7 at BAL 26, 0:17 leftLost 0.4 pts

   36-A.Estime right guard to BAL 23 for 3 yards (0-R.Smith).

   Model's pick: Outside run, 95% win chance vs 95%.

9. Outside runBest call3rd & 4 at BAL 23, 0:11 leftTop option

   4-D.Watson left end to BAL 23 for no gain (32-T.Simpson).

   Model's pick too, 96% win chance.

10. Not graded

    25-A.Szmyt 42 yard field goal is BLOCKED

    Penalty, no play.

11. Field goalBest call1st & 10 at BAL 18, 0:00 leftTop option

    25-A.Szmyt 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Model's pick too, 97% win chance.

Todd Monken scored 92 on 9 graded calls. 🟧🟧🟩🟨🟨🟩🟩🟩🟩 Think you can beat 92? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 27 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 19, or 70%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.