Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens Final Drive (Week 3, 2026)

What really happened

Field goal. The Cowboys lost 31-34. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

1. 1.4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at DAL 48 for 13 yards (21-J.Hawkins).
2. 2.4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 3-G.Pickens.
3. 3.4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 38 for 14 yards (24-M.Starks).
4. 4.4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at BAL 29 for 9 yards
5. 5.4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 22 for 7 yards (24-M.Starks).
6. 6.4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb
7. 7.4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens (2-N.Wiggins).
8. 8.PENALTY on DAL-86-L.Schoonmaker, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 2 - No Play.
9. 9.4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 5 for 2 yards
10. 10.4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens.
11. 11.17-B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

Drive result

Field goal

Final score

Cowboys 31, Ravens 34

Outcome

Lost 31-34

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Brian Schottenheimer made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

1. Short sidelineBest call1st & 10 at DAL 35, 1:30 leftTop option

   4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at DAL 48 for 13 yards (21-J.Hawkins).

   Model's pick too, 31% win chance.

2. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at DAL 48, 1:24 leftLost 2.6 pts

   4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 3-G.Pickens.

   Model's pick: Outside run, 37% win chance vs 35%.

3. Short sidelineClose2nd & 10 at DAL 48, 1:20 leftLost 3.0 pts

   4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 38 for 14 yards (24-M.Starks).

   Model's pick: Short middle, 36% win chance vs 33%.

4. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at BAL 38, 1:14 leftLost 1.3 pts

   4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at BAL 29 for 9 yards

   Model's pick: Inside run, 44% win chance vs 43%.

5. Not graded2nd & 1 at BAL 29, 1:09 left

   4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 22 for 7 yards (24-M.Starks).

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

6. Not graded

   4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb

   Penalty, no play.

7. Short sidelineBest call1st & Goal at BAL 2, 0:23 leftTop option

   4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens (2-N.Wiggins).

   Model's pick too, 84% win chance.

8. Not graded

   PENALTY on DAL-86-L.Schoonmaker, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 2 - No Play.

   Penalty, no play.

9. Not graded2nd & Goal at BAL 7, 0:20 left

   4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 5 for 2 yards

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

10. Short sidelineClose3rd & Goal at BAL 5, 0:14 leftLost 3.7 pts

    4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens.

    Model's pick: Short middle, 65% win chance vs 62%.

11. Field goalBest call4th & Goal at BAL 5, 0:10 leftTop option

    17-B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Model's pick too, 49% win chance.

Brian Schottenheimer scored 91 on 7 graded calls. 🟩🟨🟨🟨🟩🟨🟩 Think you can beat 91? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 71 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 21, or 30%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.