Two minute drill 路 NFL 2026 Week 3
Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns Final Drive (Week 3, 2026)
In Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season (Sep 27, 2026), the Carolina Panthers got the ball against the Cleveland Browns down 3 with 1:44 left at their own 22, three timeouts; Dave Canales called 4 passes, and the drive ended in a turnover on downs; the Panthers lost 18-21. Call the plays yourself, then compare your calls with Dave Canales's, each graded on win probability.
- Ball on
- CAR 22
- Down
- 1st & 10
- Timeouts
- Three timeouts
- Panthers coach
- Dave Canales
- Browns coach
- Todd Monken
- Game
- Week 3, Sep 27, 2026 (away)
Opens in practice mode. It won't count toward your daily streak.
What really happened
Turnover on downs. The Panthers lost 18-21. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:
- 1.9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 13-J.Metchie
- 2.9-B.Young pass short right to 30-C.Hubbard pushed ob at CAR 22 for no gain (5-Q.Williams).
- 3.9-B.Young sacked at CAR 16 for -6 yards (94-M.Graham).
- 4.9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (26-M.Harden; 49-C.Schwesinger).
- Drive result
- Turnover on downs
- Final score
- Panthers 18, Browns 21
- Outcome
- Lost 18-21
How did the real coach grade?
We scored every call Dave Canales made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.
- Short sidelineBest call1st & 10 at CAR 22, 1:44 leftLost 0.9 pts
9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 13-J.Metchie
Model's pick: Deep sideline, 28% win chance vs 28%.
- Short sidelineBest call2nd & 10 at CAR 22, 1:40 leftLost 0.0 pts
9-B.Young pass short right to 30-C.Hubbard pushed ob at CAR 22 for no gain (5-Q.Williams).
Model's pick: Short middle, 25% win chance vs 25%.
- Not graded3rd & 10 at CAR 22, 1:34 left
9-B.Young sacked at CAR 16 for -6 yards (94-M.Graham).
Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.
- Short sidelineCostly4th & 16 at CAR 16, 1:27 leftLost 7.1 pts
9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (26-M.Harden; 49-C.Schwesinger).
Model's pick: Deep middle, 12% win chance vs 4%.
Dave Canales scored 84 on 3 graded calls. Think you can beat 84? Play this drive
How often does this work?
In 69 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 22, or 32%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.
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Independent fan-made game. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League, any NFL team, or any other two-minute drill game. Team names are used only to identify real games; no team logos are used. Play-by-play data from nflverse; pass-rush and box counts from FTN Data (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Situation, plays and results come from the public nflverse play-by-play data. Coaches are named only to identify the real game.