Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans Final Drive (Week 2, 2026)

What really happened

Touchdown. The Eagles won 24-20. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

1. 1.1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short middle to 13-D.Wicks.
2. 2.1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith ran ob at PHI 39 for 4 yards.
3. 3.1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 13-D.Wicks to TEN 41 for 20 yards (26-M.Harris).
4. 4.1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith to TEN 32 for 9 yards (24-A.Taylor).
5. 5.1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith ran ob at TEN 26 for 6 yards.
6. 6.1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short right .
7. 7.1-J.Hurts scrambles up the middle to TEN 22 for 4 yards (26-M.Harris).
8. 8.1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 6-D.Smith pushed ob at TEN 3 for 19 yards (21-M.Robinson).
9. 9.1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 80-D.Cooper for 3 yards,

Drive result

Touchdown

Final score

Eagles 24, Titans 20

Outcome

Won 24-20

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Nick Sirianni made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

1. Short middleBest call1st & 10 at PHI 35, 1:56 leftTop option

   1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short middle to 13-D.Wicks.

   Model's pick too, 30% win chance.

2. Short sidelineBest call2nd & 10 at PHI 35, 1:52 leftLost 0.9 pts

   1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith ran ob at PHI 39 for 4 yards.

   Model's pick: Deep middle, 27% win chance vs 26%.

3. Deep sidelineClose3rd & 6 at PHI 39, 1:48 leftLost 1.7 pts

   1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 13-D.Wicks to TEN 41 for 20 yards (26-M.Harris).

   Model's pick: Short middle, 29% win chance vs 27%.

4. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at TEN 41, 1:20 leftLost 1.7 pts

   1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith to TEN 32 for 9 yards (24-A.Taylor).

   Model's pick: Deep sideline, 43% win chance vs 41%.

5. Short sidelineBest call2nd & 1 at TEN 32, 0:56 leftTop option

   1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith ran ob at TEN 26 for 6 yards.

   Model's pick too, 44% win chance.

6. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at TEN 26, 0:51 leftLost 2.1 pts

   1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short right .

   Model's pick: Deep sideline, 51% win chance vs 49%.

7. Not graded2nd & 10 at TEN 26, 0:45 left

   1-J.Hurts scrambles up the middle to TEN 22 for 4 yards (26-M.Harris).

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

8. Deep sidelineBest call3rd & 6 at TEN 22, 0:20 leftTop option

   1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 6-D.Smith pushed ob at TEN 3 for 19 yards (21-M.Robinson).

   Model's pick too, 53% win chance.

9. Short middleClose1st & Goal at TEN 3, 0:14 leftLost 1.4 pts

   1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 80-D.Cooper for 3 yards,

   Model's pick: Outside run, 70% win chance vs 69%.

Nick Sirianni scored 94 on 8 graded calls. 🟩🟩🟨🟨🟩🟨🟩🟨 Think you can beat 94? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 76 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 26, or 34%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.