Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints Final Drive (Week 2, 2026)

What really happened

Turnover. The Ravens lost 17-24. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

1. 1.8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right to 81-D.Walker.
2. 2.8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman to BAL 36 for 7 yards (29-Q.Riley).
3. 3.8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to 50 for 14 yards (20-P.Werner).
4. 4.8-L.Jackson scrambles left guard to NO 37 for 13 yards (55-K.Elliss).
5. 5.8-L.Jackson spiked the ball to stop the clock.
6. 6.8-L.Jackson pass deep left intended for 7-R.Bateman INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Blackmon at NO 7. 23-J.Blackmon to NO

Drive result

Turnover

Final score

Ravens 17, Saints 24

Outcome

Lost 17-24

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Jesse Minter made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

1. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at BAL 29, 1:21 leftLost 2.1 pts

   8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right to 81-D.Walker.

   Model's pick: Deep middle, 5% win chance vs 3%.

2. Short sidelineBest call2nd & 10 at BAL 29, 1:14 leftLost 0.9 pts

   8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman to BAL 36 for 7 yards (29-Q.Riley).

   Model's pick: Deep sideline, 3% win chance vs 2%.

3. Short middleClose3rd & 3 at BAL 36, 0:59 leftLost 2.5 pts

   8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to 50 for 14 yards (20-P.Werner).

   Model's pick: Deep sideline, 4% win chance vs 2%.

4. Not graded1st & 10 at Midfield, 0:38 left

   8-L.Jackson scrambles left guard to NO 37 for 13 yards (55-K.Elliss).

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

5. SpikeClose1st & 10 at NO 37, 0:21 leftLost 2.0 pts

   8-L.Jackson spiked the ball to stop the clock.

   Model's pick: Deep sideline, 5% win chance vs 4%.

6. Deep sidelineBest call2nd & 10 at NO 37, 0:20 leftLost 0.4 pts

   8-L.Jackson pass deep left intended for 7-R.Bateman INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Blackmon at NO 7. 23-J.Blackmon to NO

   Model's pick: Short middle, 5% win chance vs 5%.

Jesse Minter scored 90 on 5 graded calls. 🟨🟩🟨🟨🟩 Think you can beat 90? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 48 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 1, or 2%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.