Two Minute Drill Game

Two minute drill · Daily drive #3

: Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers Final Drive (Week 5, 2026)

On Oct 18, 2026, the daily two minute drill drive was the Seattle Seahawks vs the San Francisco 49ers (Week 5, 2026), down 3 with 1:51 left at their own 15, two timeouts; Mike Macdonald called 5 passes, and the drive ended in a turnover on downs; the Seahawks lost 29-32. Call the plays yourself, then compare your calls with Mike Macdonald's, each graded on win probability.

Offense
Seahawks
29
Q4
1:51
Down 3
Defense
49ers
32
Ball on
SEA 15
Down
1st & 10
Timeouts
Two timeouts
Seahawks coach
Mike Macdonald
49ers coach
Kyle Shanahan
Game
Week 5, Oct 11, 2026 (home)
Play this drive

Opens in practice mode. It won't count toward your daily streak.

What really happened

Turnover on downs. The Seahawks lost 29-32. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

  1. 1.14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to 50 for 35 yards (53-J.Dugger).
  2. 2.14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba (0-R.Green).
  3. 3.14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 88-A.Barner .
  4. 4.14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba.
  5. 5.14-S.Darnold pass short left to 10-C.Kupp pushed ob at SF 41 for 9 yards
Drive result
Turnover on downs
Final score
Seahawks 29, 49ers 32
Outcome
Lost 29-32

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Mike Macdonald made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

  1. Deep sidelineClose1st & 10 at SEA 15, 1:51 leftLost 2.3 pts

    14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to 50 for 35 yards (53-J.Dugger).

    Model's pick: Outside run, 26% win chance vs 23%.

  2. Short sidelineBest call1st & 10 at Midfield, 1:13 leftLost 0.4 pts

    14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba (0-R.Green).

    Model's pick: Deep middle, 38% win chance vs 38%.

  3. Short sidelineClose2nd & 10 at Midfield, 1:09 leftLost 2.1 pts

    14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 88-A.Barner .

    Model's pick: Outside run, 34% win chance vs 32%.

  4. Deep sidelineClose3rd & 10 at Midfield, 1:00 leftLost 1.1 pts

    14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba.

    Model's pick: Short middle, 29% win chance vs 28%.

  5. Short sidelineCostly4th & 10 at Midfield, 0:54 leftLost 8.2 pts

    14-S.Darnold pass short left to 10-C.Kupp pushed ob at SF 41 for 9 yards

    Model's pick: Deep middle, 19% win chance vs 11%.

Mike Macdonald scored 83 on 5 graded calls. Think you can beat 83? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 60 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 13, or 22%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.

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Independent fan-made game. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League, any NFL team, or any other two-minute drill game. Team names are used only to identify real games; no team logos are used. Play-by-play data from nflverse; pass-rush and box counts from FTN Data (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Situation, plays and results come from the public nflverse play-by-play data. Coaches are named only to identify the real game.