Two Minute Drill Game

Two minute drill · Daily drive #15

: Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Final Drive (Week 18, 2025)

On Oct 30, 2026, the daily two minute drill drive was the Detroit Lions vs the Chicago Bears (Week 18, 2025), tied with 1:41 left at their own 37, two timeouts; Dan Campbell called 1 pass, 4 runs and 1 field goal try, and the drive ended in a field goal; the Lions won 19-16. Call the plays yourself, then compare your calls with Dan Campbell's, each graded on win probability.

Offense
Lions
16
Q4
1:41
Tied
Defense
Bears
16
Ball on
DET 37
Down
1st & 10
Timeouts
Two timeouts
Lions coach
Dan Campbell
Bears coach
Ben Johnson
Game
Week 18, Jan 4, 2026 (away)
Play this drive

Opens in practice mode. It won't count toward your daily streak.

What really happened

Field goal. The Lions won 19-16. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

  1. 1.0-J.Gibbs left end to DET 46 for 9 yards (9-J.Brisker; 31-K.Byard).
  2. 2.0-J.Gibbs left guard to DET 48 for 2 yards
  3. 3.16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to CHI 26 for 26 yards (33-J.Jones).
  4. 4.0-J.Gibbs right tackle to CHI 24 for 2 yards (98-M.Sweat).
  5. 5.0-J.Gibbs left tackle to CHI 24 for no gain (97-A.Billings).
  6. 6.39-J.Bates 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Drive result
Field goal
Final score
Lions 19, Bears 16
Outcome
Won 19-16

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Dan Campbell made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

  1. Outside runBest call1st & 10 at DET 37, 1:41 leftTop option

    0-J.Gibbs left end to DET 46 for 9 yards (9-J.Brisker; 31-K.Byard).

    Model's pick too, 73% win chance.

  2. Inside runBest call2nd & 1 at DET 46, 0:54 leftTop option

    0-J.Gibbs left guard to DET 48 for 2 yards

    Model's pick too, 82% win chance.

  3. Short middleBest call1st & 10 at DET 48, 0:42 leftTop option

    16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to CHI 26 for 26 yards (33-J.Jones).

    Model's pick too, 80% win chance.

  4. Outside runBest call1st & 10 at CHI 26, 0:33 leftLost 0.3 pts

    0-J.Gibbs right tackle to CHI 24 for 2 yards (98-M.Sweat).

    Model's pick: Inside run, 93% win chance vs 93%.

  5. Outside runBest call2nd & 8 at CHI 24, 0:09 leftTop option

    0-J.Gibbs left tackle to CHI 24 for no gain (97-A.Billings).

    Model's pick too, 96% win chance.

  6. Field goalBest call3rd & 8 at CHI 24, 0:02 leftTop option

    39-J.Bates 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Model's pick too, 94% win chance.

Dan Campbell scored 100 on 6 graded calls. Think you can beat 100? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 29 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 20, or 69%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.

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Independent fan-made game. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League, any NFL team, or any other two-minute drill game. Team names are used only to identify real games; no team logos are used. Play-by-play, lineup (NGS participation), depth chart and roster data from nflverse; pass-rush and box counts from FTN Data (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Situation, plays and results come from the public nflverse play-by-play data. Coaches are named only to identify the real game.