Two minute drill 路 Daily drive #8

: Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys Final Drive (Week 17, 2023)

On Oct 23, 2026, the daily two minute drill drive was the Detroit Lions vs the Dallas Cowboys (Week 17, 2023), down 7 with 1:41 left at their own 25, no timeouts; Dan Campbell called 6 passes and 3 spikes, and the drive ended in a touchdown; the Lions lost 19-20. Call the plays yourself, then compare your calls with Dan Campbell's, each graded on win probability.

Offense
Lions
13
Q4
1:41
Down 7
Defense
Cowboys
20
Ball on
DET 25
Down
1st & 10
Timeouts
No timeouts
Lions coach
Dan Campbell
Cowboys coach
Mike McCarthy
Game
Week 17, Dec 30, 2023 (away)
Play this drive

Opens in practice mode. It won't count toward your daily streak.

What really happened

Touchdown. The Lions lost 19-20. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

  1. 1.16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 35 for 10 yards (1-J.Kearse, 6-D.Wilson).
  2. 2.16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 87-S.LaPorta to DAL 40 for 25 yards (14-M.Bell).
  3. 3.16-J.Goff spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  4. 4.16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to DAL 26 for 14 yards (6-D.Wilson).
  5. 5.16-J.Goff spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  6. 6.16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 14-A.St. Brown (2-J.Lewis).
  7. 7.16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to DAL 11 for 15 yards (6-D.Wilson, 14-M.Bell).
  8. 8.16-J.Goff spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  9. 9.16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 11 yards,
  10. 10.70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 68-T.Decker is complete.
  11. 11.TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 14-A.St. Brown is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. PENALTY on DAL-11
  12. 12.TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 82-J.Mitchell is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Drive result
Touchdown
Final score
Lions 19, Cowboys 20
Outcome
Lost 19-20

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Dan Campbell made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

  1. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at DET 25, 1:41 leftLost 1.2 pts

    16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 35 for 10 yards (1-J.Kearse, 6-D.Wilson).

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 5% win chance vs 3%.

  2. Deep middleClose1st & 10 at DET 35, 1:19 leftLost 1.1 pts

    16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 87-S.LaPorta to DAL 40 for 25 yards (14-M.Bell).

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 6% win chance vs 4%.

  3. SpikeClose1st & 10 at DAL 40, 1:03 leftLost 3.9 pts

    16-J.Goff spiked the ball to stop the clock.

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 12% win chance vs 8%.

  4. Short sidelineClose2nd & 10 at DAL 40, 1:02 leftLost 2.7 pts

    16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to DAL 26 for 14 yards (6-D.Wilson).

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 10% win chance vs 8%.

  5. SpikeClose1st & 10 at DAL 26, 0:49 leftLost 3.3 pts

    16-J.Goff spiked the ball to stop the clock.

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 17% win chance vs 13%.

  6. Short sidelineBest call2nd & 10 at DAL 26, 0:48 leftLost 0.9 pts

    16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 14-A.St. Brown (2-J.Lewis).

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 14% win chance vs 14%.

  7. Short middleClose3rd & 10 at DAL 26, 0:43 leftLost 4.0 pts

    16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to DAL 11 for 15 yards (6-D.Wilson, 14-M.Bell).

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 15% win chance vs 11%.

  8. SpikeCostly1st & 10 at DAL 11, 0:28 leftLost 6.6 pts

    16-J.Goff spiked the ball to stop the clock.

    Model's pick: Short middle, 22% win chance vs 16%.

  9. Short sidelineClose2nd & 10 at DAL 11, 0:27 leftLost 1.4 pts

    16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 11 yards,

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 19% win chance vs 18%.

  10. Not graded

    70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 68-T.Decker is complete.

    Penalty, no play.

  11. Not graded

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 14-A.St. Brown is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. PENALTY on DAL-11

    Penalty, no play.

  12. Not graded

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 82-J.Mitchell is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

    Two-point try after the touchdown, not part of the drive's play calling.

Dan Campbell scored 83 on 9 graded calls. Think you can beat 83? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 47 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 3, or 6%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.

All past daily drives 路 Play today's challenge

Independent fan-made game. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League, any NFL team, or any other two-minute drill game. Team names are used only to identify real games; no team logos are used. Play-by-play, lineup (NGS participation), depth chart and roster data from nflverse; pass-rush and box counts from FTN Data (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Situation, plays and results come from the public nflverse play-by-play data. Coaches are named only to identify the real game.