Two Minute Drill Game

Two minute drill 路 NFL 2026 Week 4

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Final Drive (Week 4, 2026)

In Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season (Oct 4, 2026), the Houston Texans got the ball against the Dallas Cowboys down 4 with 0:37 left at their own 28, no timeouts; DeMeco Ryans called 3 passes and 1 spike, and the drive ended when time ran out; the Texans lost 30-34. Call the plays yourself, then compare your calls with DeMeco Ryans's, each graded on win probability.

Offense
Texans
30
Q4
0:37
Down 4
Defense
Cowboys
34
Ball on
HOU 28
Down
1st & 10
Timeouts
No timeouts
Texans coach
DeMeco Ryans
Cowboys coach
Brian Schottenheimer
Game
Week 4, Oct 4, 2026 (home)
Play this drive

Opens in practice mode. It won't count toward your daily streak.

What really happened

End of half. The Texans lost 30-34. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

  1. 1.7-C.Stroud pass short right to 12-N.Collins pushed ob at HOU 36 for 8 yards (23-A.Speed).
  2. 2.7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 13-J.Noel to HOU 47 for 11 yards (24-M.Hooker).
  3. 3.7-C.Stroud spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  4. 4.7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson. PENALTY on DAL-57-M.Lawrence, Defensive Offside, 5 y
  5. 5.7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).
Drive result
End of half
Final score
Texans 30, Cowboys 34
Outcome
Lost 30-34

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call DeMeco Ryans made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

  1. Short sidelineBest call1st & 10 at HOU 28, 0:37 leftLost 0.5 pts

    7-C.Stroud pass short right to 12-N.Collins pushed ob at HOU 36 for 8 yards (23-A.Speed).

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 3% win chance vs 3%.

  2. Short middleBest call2nd & 2 at HOU 36, 0:31 leftLost 0.3 pts

    7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 13-J.Noel to HOU 47 for 11 yards (24-M.Hooker).

    Model's pick: Deep middle, 2% win chance vs 2%.

  3. SpikeClose1st & 10 at HOU 47, 0:17 leftLost 2.5 pts

    7-C.Stroud spiked the ball to stop the clock.

    Model's pick: Deep sideline, 5% win chance vs 2%.

  4. Not graded

    7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson. PENALTY on DAL-57-M.Lawrence, Defensive Offside, 5 y

    Penalty, no play.

  5. Deep sidelineBest call2nd & 5 at DAL 48, 0:09 leftLost 0.0 pts

    7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).

    Model's pick: Deep middle, 4% win chance vs 4%.

DeMeco Ryans scored 95 on 4 graded calls. Think you can beat 95? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 67 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 6, or 9%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.

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Independent fan-made game. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League, any NFL team, or any other two-minute drill game. Team names are used only to identify real games; no team logos are used. Play-by-play data from nflverse; pass-rush and box counts from FTN Data (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Situation, plays and results come from the public nflverse play-by-play data. Coaches are named only to identify the real game.