Two Minute Drill Game

Two minute drill · Daily drive #20

: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Final Drive (Week 11, 2024)

On Nov 4, 2026, the daily two minute drill drive was the Chicago Bears vs the Green Bay Packers (Week 11, 2024), down 1 with 2:59 left at their own 30, one timeout; Matt Eberflus called 5 passes, 1 run and 1 field goal try, and the drive ended in a missed field goal; the Bears lost 19-20. Call the plays yourself, then compare your calls with Matt Eberflus's, each graded on win probability.

Offense
Bears
19
Q4
2:59
Down 1
Defense
Packers
20
Ball on
CHI 30
Down
1st & 10
Timeouts
One timeout
Bears coach
Matt Eberflus
Packers coach
Matt LaFleur
Game
Week 11, Nov 17, 2024 (home)
Play this drive

Opens in practice mode. It won't count toward your daily streak.

Bears vs Packers: what really happened

Missed field goal. The Bears lost 19-20. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

  1. 1.18-C.Williams sacked at CHI 29 for -1 yards (93-T.Slaton).
  2. 2.18-C.Williams sacked at CHI 21 for -8 yards (52-R.Gary).
  3. 3.18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze to CHI 37 for 16 yards (33-E.Williams).
  4. 4.18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze to GB 42 for 21 yards (25-K.Nixon).
  5. 5.18-C.Williams pass short left to 13-K.Allen to GB 30 for 12 yards
  6. 6.23-R.Johnson up the middle to GB 28 for 2 yards (52-R.Gary; 24-C.Valentine).
  7. 7.8-C.Santos 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED (94-K.Brooks), Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
Drive result
Missed field goal
Final score
Bears 19, Packers 20
Outcome
Lost 19-20

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Matt Eberflus made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

  1. Not graded1st & 10 at CHI 30, 2:59 left

    18-C.Williams sacked at CHI 29 for -1 yards (93-T.Slaton).

    Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

  2. Not graded2nd & 11 at CHI 29, 2:34 left

    18-C.Williams sacked at CHI 21 for -8 yards (52-R.Gary).

    Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

  3. Deep sidelineBest call3rd & 19 at CHI 21, 2:00 leftTop option

    18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze to CHI 37 for 16 yards (33-E.Williams).

    Model's pick too, 30% win chance.

  4. Deep sidelineBig miss4th & 3 at CHI 37, 1:33 leftLost 15.6 pts

    18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze to GB 42 for 21 yards (25-K.Nixon).

    Model's pick: Short middle, 43% win chance vs 28%.

  5. Short sidelineClose1st & 10 at GB 42, 0:53 leftLost 2.0 pts

    18-C.Williams pass short left to 13-K.Allen to GB 30 for 12 yards

    Model's pick: Inside run, 74% win chance vs 72%.

  6. Inside runBest call1st & 10 at GB 30, 0:35 leftLost 0.2 pts

    23-R.Johnson up the middle to GB 28 for 2 yards (52-R.Gary; 24-C.Valentine).

    Model's pick: Outside run, 86% win chance vs 86%.

  7. Field goalBest call2nd & 8 at GB 28, 0:03 leftTop option

    8-C.Santos 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED (94-K.Brooks), Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Model's pick too, 86% win chance.

Matt Eberflus scored 79 on 5 graded calls. Think you can beat 79? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 53 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 31, or 58%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.

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Independent fan-made game. Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the National Football League, any NFL team, or any other two-minute drill game. Team names are used only to identify real games; no team logos are used. Play-by-play, lineup (NGS participation), depth chart and roster data from nflverse; pass-rush and box counts from FTN Data (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Situation, plays and results come from the public nflverse play-by-play data. Coaches are named only to identify the real game.