Nov 2, 2026: Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Final Drive (Week 11, 2024)

Bengals vs Chargers: what really happened

Punt. The Bengals lost 27-34. Every play of the real drive, as the official play-by-play recorded it:

1. 1.9-J.Burrow scrambles left end to CIN 30 for 14 yards (3-D.James).
2. 2.9-J.Burrow pass incomplete deep right to 1-J.Chase.
3. 3.9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short left to 30-C.Brown (7-K.Fulton).
4. 4.9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short right to 5-T.Higgins .
5. 5.8-R.Rehkow punts 64 yards to LAC 6, Center-48-C.Adomitis. 12-D.Davis to LAC 16 for 10 yards (26-T.Anderson).

Drive result

Punt

Final score

Bengals 27, Chargers 34

Outcome

Lost 27-34

How did the real coach grade?

We scored every call Zac Taylor made on this drive the same way the game scores yours. From the real down, distance, clock and timeouts at each snap, our model plays out every option 400 times and compares the win chances. The model is simplified, so treat these grades as approximate.

1. Not graded1st & 10 at CIN 16, 1:26 left

   9-J.Burrow scrambles left end to CIN 30 for 14 yards (3-D.James).

   Sack, scramble or throw-away: the play-by-play has no target, so the call is unknown.

2. Deep sidelineClose1st & 10 at CIN 30, 1:10 leftLost 3.7 pts

   9-J.Burrow pass incomplete deep right to 1-J.Chase.

   Model's pick: Outside run, 72% win chance vs 69%.

3. Short sidelineBest call2nd & 10 at CIN 30, 1:05 leftLost 0.6 pts

   9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short left to 30-C.Brown (7-K.Fulton).

   Model's pick: Inside run, 64% win chance vs 64%.

4. Short sidelineClose3rd & 10 at CIN 30, 1:01 leftLost 1.0 pts

   9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short right to 5-T.Higgins .

   Model's pick: Short middle, 58% win chance vs 57%.

5. Not graded4th & 10 at CIN 30, 0:55 left

   8-R.Rehkow punts 64 yards to LAC 6, Center-48-C.Adomitis. 12-D.Davis to LAC 16 for 10 yards (26-T.Anderson).

   Punt, not one of the game's 8 calls.

Zac Taylor scored 89 on 3 graded calls. 🟨🟩🟨 Think you can beat 89? Play this drive

How often does this work?

In 18 similar drives from 2023 on (same score gap, similar time and field position), the offense went on to win 11, or 61%. That is a rough real-world baseline, not a precise win probability.